Bayesian Reasoning In Data Analysis~ A Critical Introduction.pdf

JBayesian Reasoning in
Data Analysis
A Critical Introduction
Giulio D'Agostini
Bayesian Reasoning in
Data Analysis
A Critical Introduction
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Bayesian Reasoning in
Data Analysis
A Critical Introduction
Giulio D'Agostini
Physics Department
University of Rome "La Sapienza", Italy
I© World Scientific
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Published by
World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.
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Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
D'Agostini, G. (Giulio).
Bayesian reasoning in data analysis : a critical introduction / Giulio
D'Agostini.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 981-238-356-5 (alk. paper)
1. Bayesian statistical decision theory. I. Title.
.D28 2003 2003045082
'42-dc21
British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data
A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library.
Copyright © 2003 by World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.
All rights reserved. This book, or parts thereof, may not be reproduced in any form or by any means,
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To my parents, who always told me
"crediti quello che ti puoi credere"
( "believe what you find it reasonable to believe").
Preface
This book is primarily addressed to physicists and other scientists and
e